PDA

View Full Version : Passer Rating Flaws Vol.


DMS
02-27-2019, 10:51 AM
One of the biggest flaws in passer rating is that they value Touch% Over INT%, this means that you could take any stats and inflate the passer rating by lowering the attempts.


70/100, 1 TD 1 INT = ~80

7/10, 1 TD 1 INT= ~110

Why? Because TD% boosts passers rating more than high% lowers it.

So you could take any TD/INT and shrink the passes to get a better passer rating.

uh-oh
02-27-2019, 12:02 PM
Word i agree it should almost be the opposite.

But all those stats are goofy anyways. The only stat that matters for qbs is w-l's

Edit- wait nah i didnt factor in the TD/int which is the whole point i was just looking at completion percentage. 70/100 is much more impressive than 7/10. But yea the tds factoring such a big part make sense tho.

DMS
02-27-2019, 02:05 PM
Word i agree it should almost be the opposite.

But all those stats are goofy anyways. The only stat that matters for qbs is w-l's

Edit- wait nah i didnt factor in the TD/int which is the whole point i was just looking at completion percentage. 70/100 is much more impressive than 7/10. But yea the tds factoring such a big part make sense tho.

I’d rather have a QB who takes 20 passes to throw a TD and 100 to throw a pick than one which takes 10 passes to throw a TD and 50 to throw a pick. Back in the 60s and 70s when this system was first made picks weren’t as much the QB’s fault and were less detrimental but now it’s a huge factor. You can throw 100 picks to 100 TDs and still have a good passer rating as long as your TD% is high enough. TD/INT isn’t valued enough in this case to me.

I think certain stats matter and W-L isn’t the best measure of talent. But we should use stats based off actions not outcomes, like Accuracy% (opposed to Comp%) and Turnover Worthy Pass% (as opposed to INT%).

Aaron Rodgers is a perfect example, his TOW% was 1.17 but his INT% was .3